P.E.I. Liberal support remains strong despite Ghiz resignation

Teresa Wright
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P.E.I. Premier Robert Ghiz may have surprised the Island by announcing last month he will resign in the new year, but he does not appear to have scared away voter support for his party.

Quarterly poll results from Corporate Research Associates released Monday show support for the Liberal party of P.E.I. has remained steady this quarter at 50 per cent and a majority of voters, 54 per cent, are satisfied with the Ghiz government.

Ghiz announced his resignation right in the middle of the polling period, and yet his personal popularity is higher than it has been all year at 41 per cent – a five point jump since August.

Meanwhile, the Opposition Progressive Conservatives dropped five points to rest at 23 per cent in party support.

Also the percentage of Islanders dissatisfied with the provincial government led by Robert Ghiz dropped by three points to 39 per cent.

Margaret Brigley, president and COO of Corporate Research Associates (CRA), said this poll shows Ghiz has left his party and the Liberal government in good shape.

“I think Premier Ghiz has timed his departure to really give time for the party to be in a good position for the next election,” Brigley said.

The numbers also mean the Tories have not gained the traction they have been working to acquire.

“It really suggests that the Opposition continues to struggle to offer that effective alternative,” Brigley said.

Often when political leaders resign, poll numbers shift to show more undecided voters who wait on the sidelines to see what will happen, says UPEI political scientist Don Desserud.

That does not appear to be the case in P.E.I.

“This poll was done before Wade MacLauchlan put his name forward (for Liberal leadership) so the uncertainty factor is high, but it has not translated into a big jump in undecided votes, it’s pretty well the same,” Desserud said.

He echoed Brigley’s assessment that this is a bad news poll for the Opposition PC party.

“The Conservatives are still not able to benefit from any kind of dissatisfaction with the Liberals or any kind of uncertainty with the Liberals,” Desserud said.

“It’s a pretty good news poll for the Liberals because it shows that even not knowing who the leader is, there is still a lot of confidence that the party is going to move forward.”

NDP Leader Mike Redmond remains the second most popular party leader at 17 per cent, down one point this quarter. His party also lost one point, now standing in third place at 15 per cent of decided voters.

Redmond has polled higher than Interim PC party leader Steven Myers all year. Myers is down one point since August with 13 per cent of Islanders saying they prefer him as premier.

Support for the Green party jumped from seven per cent to 11 per cent this quarter, which is the second consecutive four-point jump for the party this year.

Green party leader Peter Bevan-Baker held steady in personal popularity at five per cent.

The percentage of Islanders who refused to state a party preference or who are undecided dropped slightly from 38 to 35 per cent.

Results are based on a telephone survey of 300 adult Prince Edward Islanders conducted between Nov. 5 and Nov. 25, 2014 with overall results accurate to within plus or minus 5.7 percentage points, 95 times out of 100.

The margin of error for voters who specified their political party preference is higher, as it is based on a sample size of only 189 voters.

Party results are considered accurate to within plus or minus 7.1 per cent.




Organizations: Corporate Research Associates, Progressive Conservatives, NDP Green Party

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Recent comments

  • Islander
    December 08, 2014 - 15:38

    HAHAhahaha best laugh of the day !! If their survey gave them 50 percent they had to have surveyed their own relatives or old Gronies they gave everything too. Do a real survey and ask most islanders if they would vote this party in again and the true answer would be NO.

    • huh
      December 08, 2014 - 16:50

      you realize each time a poll like this comes out, someone makes a comment like yours. Every time. Yup. CRA, a regional company, is a fraud and after 35 years in business they're skewing the results to favour the PEI Liberal party (we won't bother asking why on earth they would do that). The reality is: A real survey was done and Islanders were asked. 50% said yes.

  • ralph
    December 08, 2014 - 15:03

    Atta boy Liberals! If the conservatives keep shooting themselves in the foot, WE BE IN POWER AGAIN!!!! Myers is SOO easy to take down.........look at Olive so why would ANYONE trust em!!

  • Withdrawn Support
    December 08, 2014 - 14:45

    The PC Party is spending a lot of time and money trying to paint the illusion that they are a new, changed Party. Interfering/blocking a person interested in putting his name forward was the last straw. Good luck Mr. Lantz.

  • FormerPC
    December 08, 2014 - 12:35

    Thank you Peter, Jason, Murray and Dennis...keep doing your job and you will eventually destroy whatever is left of this party!

    • hmatt
      December 08, 2014 - 13:57

      Islanders are sick of self absorbed people blaming these individuals.If you want to do the right thing, put your name on a ballot. And why your at it, why don't you tell the whole story, "like Olive approaching the Liberals to cross the floor if they gave her a cabinet post."

    • @hmatt
      December 08, 2014 - 16:10

      cry me a river dan

    • Wayne
      December 08, 2014 - 17:01

      Hmatt, even if you approach them you may not get the nod. Been there, tried. Cant even get an interview. Thanks for your support to those that offered. Pick whoever you feel will best represent PEI, especially rural PEI.

  • paul
    December 08, 2014 - 11:18

    Not sure if this poll makes any sense any more unless they know who to phone . The Island is done with this party running it into the ground . I would have to write a book to show all the things they have done to make us close to going under. They closed how many schools , introduced the HST and still can't come close to a balanced budget . They talk about how tourists were way up this , where did that money go , oh I forgot they partied like it was 1867 on our dime . ENOUGH IS ENOUGH .

    • Here is the thing
      December 08, 2014 - 14:18

      50% of the Island do not agree with you.

    • That is the problem
      December 08, 2014 - 16:26

      Exactly. Clearly at least 50% of Islanders are too stupid to vote. It's a sad state of affairs when people live in so much ignorance.

    • SlyFox
      December 08, 2014 - 17:45

      #Here is the thing- You are incorrect.Only 50% of the ones polled agree.Then the poll itself is not 100% accurate in the outcome to an event.The numbers in the poll showed how the people would vote that were called.50 % called would be Liberal, 23 would be Conservative and 17% would be NDP out of the group called.LOL

  • polls boggles me
    December 08, 2014 - 11:06

    This is a straw poll , i can not figure if there calling the same people or what, those number are terrible we all know there is know way ghiz support went up, worst gov of all time on pei and the worst part i voted for them