UPDATE - Ghiz Liberals regain support: poll

Teresa Wright
Send to a friend

Send this article to a friend.

Julia Ghiz, daughter of Premier Robert Ghiz, points to the direction Liberal support is heading in this photograph taken recently in the legislature.

Support for Premier Robert Ghiz’s Liberal government rebounded this quarter, according the latest Corporate Research Associates poll.

The Liberal party gained seven points since August, and now has the support of 49 per cent of decided voters in P.E.I.

Half of Islanders polled said they are satisfied with the performance of the Ghiz government – an increase in satisfaction of eight points.

A similar number of Islanders - 48 per cent - say they are dissatisfied.This dissatisfaction rate has dropped slightly since last quarter.

CLICK HERE FOR CRA POLL NUMBERS

Don Mills, chairman and CEO of Corporate Research Associates (CRA), says he believes part of the Liberals’ gains are a rebound is from the drop they endured over the last few quarters due to the adoption of the HST.

The Liberals are also doing well at the expense of the Opposition Tories, Mills said.

“You have to look at what’s going on with the (Progressive) Conservative party, which continues to find ways to hurt itself, and it’s really struggling to get traction.”

This is the first poll since the PC Opposition caucus imploded in October after Tignish-Palmer Road MLA Hal Perry crossed the floor to join the Liberals.

Interim PC Leader Steven Myers kicked former leader Olive Crane out of the Opposition caucus the very next day after she granted an unsanctioned interview to The Guardian.

Mills says these kinds of public spats never play well among the electorate.

“It doesn’t give people confidence that you’re a party ready to govern.”

Wednesday’s poll results shows the Tories have indeed lost support and continue to remain third behind the NDP, plunging this quarter to 17 per cent. That’s a six-point drop since August.

 

Myers is also in third place in personal popularity. Only 12 per cent of Islanders would prefer him has premier, down one point since last quarter.

 

The NDP, which saw its highest polling results ever last quarter, has also lost ground.

 

The party dropped by 6 percentage points and now stands at 26 per cent.

 

Leader Mike Redmond remains the second most popular leader, holding steady at 25 per cent.

 

Mills says he finds the NDP polling results interesting. If the party focuses the positive polling numbers it’s been getting for the last year into a few key ridings in the next election, Mills said he could see potential vote-splitting that could end up creating a minority government in P.E.I.

“I’m not saying the numbers are there right now today, but I am saying there is a possibility given the continuing support for the NDP and the struggles of the PCs, but between them they still have more than 50 per cent of the decided vote.”

The Green party saw a slight gain of four points and now sits at seven per cent. Leader Peter Bevan-Baker held steady at six per cent.

 

Premier Robert Ghiz remains the top choice of all party leaders in P.E.I. at 34 per cent, up from 31 per cent in August.

 

The number of Islanders who are undecided over their preferred party rests at 29 per cent compared with 25 per cent last quarter, while and unchanged five percent refuse to state a preference. Another six per cent support none of the parties or do not plan to vote.

These results are based on a sample of 302 adult Islanders, surveyed by telephone between Nov. 12 and Nov.27.

Overall results are considered accurate to within plus or minus 5.6 percentage points, 95 out of 100 times.

twright@theguardian.pe.ca

Twitter.com/GuardianTeresa

 

  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  • 5

Thanks for voting!

Top of page

Comments

Comments

Recent comments

  • tell tails
    December 05, 2013 - 12:05

    300+ Well I hope Islanders have open mines this election . Things are getting worse not better under his rule .Joe smith maybe if primary was in 60 years ago ,our 15 year olds would have passed not fail the average across Canada .First you must have well trained educators not day care workers. Take the handicap children from the classes and place them in a unit of their own . You can pay, all the SA'S for them. Cut back by ,placing them in groups and hire better educated teachers . SORRY IF MY GRAMMER MAY OFFEND YOU .

    • Tell tails? Open mines?
      December 05, 2013 - 15:33

      Open mines? Boy, that's the best malapropism I've read in a long time.

    • tail tells
      December 05, 2013 - 17:01

      and your GRAMPER OFFENDS ME TOO

  • Joe Smith
    December 05, 2013 - 08:46

    Well I just did my own poll of 30 people and I'm sorry Ghiz, but your ratings are well below 10%. You've wasted more tax payers dollars in recent memory and now you state that in 10 years or so, our children, will finally be smart enough because you put kindergarten in. Wow, that is quite a statement.

  • Bonshaw Resident
    December 04, 2013 - 18:42

    The increase in support comes from people seeing what a great road Plan B is! Hopefully the work on the TCH will continue right to Confederation Bridge. Another thing the hippies didn't want either.

    • Bonshaw Reticent?
      December 05, 2013 - 09:06

      I doubt most of the people who protested against Plan B would see themselves as hippies -whatever that means. Don't forget, you'd have to include Marie Burge (Order of PEI recipient) and Mary Boyd (Order of Canada), Richard Baker (Prime Minister’s Award for Teaching Excellence) and other high profile educators, lawyers, economists, university professors and even a few business people. To stereotype a group, like Robret Vessey has done, is not only ignorant -it reveals the weakness of one's position.

  • huh
    December 04, 2013 - 16:19

    Gotta love how whenever a poll or anything else comes out that is contrary to what someone believes, or wants to believe, they think it must surely be corrupt or biased. No, CRA is a reputable company and the results of the poll are what they are. The post by "Michael C" explains it best (though there are also Liberal lifers who would vote red even if hitler were leading the party).

  • That's it
    December 04, 2013 - 16:05

    The poll was bases on 302 adult Islanders? That's it? That's not a poll, it's a tea party.

  • Justin
    December 04, 2013 - 15:43

    The poll states what many people feel. It is not so much a poll of support for Ghiz but rather a poll of diminished support for the Tories and the NDP. If the Tories would get their act together and the NDP would find a credible leader who people could actually see a maybe being premier the poll results would be much different. Problem is Myers is joke and Redmond is just will to flail and jump on any topic no matter how silly it is. If canned pop was not already being sold in PEI I would bet Redmond would be pushing for that. The NDP have a chance to win some seats and maybe get a small foothold in PEI but they like the Tories need to get a serious leader.

  • Readers.
    December 04, 2013 - 13:17

    It is just unbelievable to read about this, truly saddening. With the reality in sight, education, jobs, and other policies, you wonder why people would still think that way. I agree with Charlie Brown.

  • NEED A REAL POLL
    December 04, 2013 - 13:15

    We need a real poll and not one sponsored by Ghiz and only his followers are requested to answer the poll. now I know we definitely have a large drug problem on this Island if the poll says Ghiz and his gang are ahead. Someone is definitely in dream land.

  • don
    December 04, 2013 - 12:51

    well the pc party will never get in as long as they have a coward for a leader abnd the power babies in the back room who can not allow a female to win nor have them open the pnp books. and to kick out olive that was the big kiLLer of the party but till the end of earth they will never admit thy SCREWED UP.

  • I Just Can't Believe It
    December 04, 2013 - 11:48

    I just can't believe that US islanders are that dense . But hey , numbers don't lie , we truly are a society of uneducated peasants when it comes to politics on PEI . I don't even think God can help us anymore since we've gone back this far in thinking for ourselves .

    • Really
      December 04, 2013 - 17:58

      So if you are so 'educated' - can we all expect to see your name on a ballot next election? Thought not - you wouldn't have the intestinal fortitude for it.

    • true
      December 05, 2013 - 14:42

      Very good great job , you probly would be too smart to run in PEI , It only takes one who just missed the "BOAT "

  • Help US
    December 04, 2013 - 11:43

    I always claimed most ISLANDERS were closed minded and do not like change Look what he has done to our students ,our future .Our province .

  • Tomatoes, TomAToes . . .
    December 04, 2013 - 11:26

    May as well ask if you want to be poked in the eye with a sharp stick or hit on the head with sledge hammer.

  • Michael C
    December 04, 2013 - 11:03

    Please Premier, do not read this as a sign you doing good. It is only because at this time there is no other choice. This, from a life long Liberal.

  • Alfred E Neuman
    December 04, 2013 - 10:59

    Hahahahahahahaha-----eh. Unbelievable! You poor dumb Islanders

  • charlie brown
    December 04, 2013 - 10:52

    Prety well confirms the fact anyone with a brain has gone west. With news like this I wish I was.