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Federal Green support increases in P.E.I. as Liberal numbers slip: CRA poll

Federal Green party leader Elizabeth May talks about the importance of voting during a speech at St. Paul’s Anglican Church in Charlottetown Sunday. Guardian photo by Mitch MacDonald
Federal Green Party Leader Elizabeth May. -Guardian file photo

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The federal Green Party appears to be benefitting from a recent surge in support for the provincial party in Prince Edward Island.

According to a Corporate Research Associates poll released Tuesday, support for the federal Greens in P.E.I. has increased from 17 to 19 per cent from February to May 2018.

That number is the highest by far of any Atlantic Canadian province — Nova Scotia and New Brunswick support for the Greens sits at 5 and 6 per cent, respectively, while no respondents in Newfoundland and Labrador indicated support for the party.

The federal poll comes less than a week after another CRA poll indicating the Greens and Liberals were in a virtual tie in popularity in P.E.I. — Wade MacLauchlan’s Liberals with 34 per cent and Peter Bevan-Baker’s Greens at 33 per cent.

Related: Liberal support declines, tied with Greens in P.E.I. political poll

Support for the federal Liberals also continued to slide in this week’s poll.

In P.E.I., 53 per cent of people said they were either mostly satisfied or completely satisfied with the overall performance of Justin Trudeau’s Liberal government, down from 57 per cent in February. Twenty-six per cent and 18 per cent said they were mostly dissatisfied or completely dissatisfied, respectively.

The Conservative Party continued to be the most direct beneficiary of the Liberals’ downswing, with their support climbing from 23 per cent in February to 27 per cent in May. Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer also saw a surge from 16 to 27 per cent, while the prime minister’s support declined slightly from 39 to 37 per cent.

These poll results represent the first quarter the Liberal government did not receive majority support in Atlantic Canada since the October 2015 federal election. One-half of residents are satisfied with the performance of the federal government.

While the Liberals continue to enjoy a substantial lead in terms of voting intentions in the region, preference for the Liberals has declined

The results based on a sample of 1,500 adult Atlantic Canadians 18 years of age or older, conducted from May 3 to 28 with overall results accurate to within plus or minus 2.5 percentage points or 95 out of 100 times.

Which federal party leader P.E.I. respondents would most prefer as prime minister: 

Justin Trudeau (Liberal)
May 2018: 37 per cent
February 2018: 39 per cent

Andrew Scheer (Conervatives)
May 2018: 21 per cent
February 2018: 18 per cent

Jagmeet Singh (NDP) 
May 2018: 8 per cent
February 2018: 6 per cent

Eizabeth May (Green) 
May 2018: 18 per cent
February 2018: 14 per cent

None of the above
May 2018: 5 per cent
February 2018: 6 per cent

Don't know/undecided/refused
May 2018: 12 per cent
February 2018: 18 per cent

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