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Don’t hold breath waiting for electoral reform




Election map

Election map

Published on October 8, 2011
Published on October 7, 2011

Islanders may not like the seat totals after Monday’s vote but it is what they voted for in the plebiscite of 2005

Topics :
NDP , Conservatives , Fair Vote Canada , Tignish

One could certainly argue the 22 seats won by the Liberals in Monday’s provincial election was not the result many Islanders wanted. The party garnered 51.4 per cent of ballots cast, or 38,304 votes, while the Conservatives, with a hefty 40.2 per cent and 29,948 votes, only could win five seats. One could also argue that more than 47 per cent of Islanders (35,548) did not vote Liberal when you factor in the Green Party’s 4.4 per cent (3,239 votes) and NDP’s 3.2 per cent (2,355 votes.)

It helps make the argument that our ‘first past the post’ electoral system distorts the process, as pointed out by Fair Vote Canada and the provincial NDP party. In their arguments, Monday’s vote should have resulted in a legislature looking something like this: 14 Liberals, 11 Conservatives, 1 Green and 1 New Democrat.

But while the outcome in seats seems to reflect an unfair return for other parties, the result is exactly what Islanders voted for in overwhelming numbers in a 2005 provincial plebiscite. In that plebiscite, almost 64 per cent of Islanders voted to retain the current system and rejected a modified system of proportional representation. Monday’s result is what Islanders wanted and it was what Islanders got.

Granted, the turnout in the 2005 plebiscite wasn’t huge. In two electoral districts the turnout was below 50 per cent. It is also interesting to note that the greatest rejection of proportional representation came from Souris and Tignish districts, where 88 per cent of the voters didn’t want a change in winner take all. Those two districts ousted Liberal cabinet ministers in narrow Conservative victories Monday.

An Electoral Reform Commission established in 2003 did all it could to give Islanders an informed opportunity to endorse changes to the electoral system. Islanders refused to be swayed. Fair Vote Canada and other groups can criticize all they want, but a majority of Islanders like the present electoral system just the way it is.

And the system will continue to exclude other parties from representation in the legislature for the foreseeable future. Islanders seem to think we have been well served to date by the system and it’s highly unlikely that any government would willingly introduce legislation that could weaken its hold on power. It means that other parties must work more diligently to get members elected and not depend on seats being awarded by a proportional system that most Islanders don’t trust or understand.

 Can one really argue that the Greens and NDP deserve a seat in the P.E.I. Legislature with 4.4 and 3.2 per cent of votes cast? That’s not to the say the legislature would be more interesting and democratic if Green leader Sharon Labchuk or James Rodd of the NDP were inside the railing. The debates and different points of view would be welcome.

Rodd says the 2005 plebiscite failed because the Conservative government and the Liberal Opposition worked to make it confusing to the public and it was set up to fail. It sounds like sour grapes. Rodd did make a valid point this week when he suggested the date for provincial elections should be changed to the first Monday in November. It would make it better for post-secondary students, families with school-aged children, farmers and fishers, and would also be consistent with the date used for municipal elections. That date could only help reverse a declining trend in voter turnouts.

When Premier Ghiz said proportional representation is not a priority for his government, nor is he interested in looking at electoral reform, he’s just reflecting the views of a majority of Islanders. 

Comments

  • Username
    Daniel AJ
    - November 6, 2011 at 22:52:34

    "Can one really argue that the Greens and NDP deserve a seat in the P.E.I. Legislature with 4.4 and 3.2 per cent of votes cast?" the author asks. Yes, one can. In a democratic system where every vote weighs the same these (and maybe other parties) would recieve more votes. Currently, a lot of people a) stay home b) vote for Party X although they would prefer Party Z, because they definitely don't want Party Y. As a result, we end up with second rate politicians making second rate decisions. Simply because they too often where the people's second best choice. PS: Many democratic, representative election systems know a minimum threshold, that keeps fringe parties outl. These rules say something like "You have to have at least 4% overall or have the strongest candidate at least one riding, otherwise you're not in. With the 27 membes in the PEI assembly, something like 3,7% percent minimum (or a victory in a riding) would make sense.

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  • Wayne Smith
    Wayne Smith
    - October 9, 2011 at 23:31:43

    Every serious process that has looked at our voting system in Canada, including the Carruthers Commission in PEI, a similar commission in New Brunswick, Citizens' Assemblies in BC and Ontario, an Estates General in Quebec, and a two-year governance study by the Law Commission of Canada, have quickly concluded that we need a proportional voting system. Subsequent referendums and plebiscites have failed to change any voting systems. What this illustrates is the inadequacy of referendums as an instrument of public policy, at least the way we do them in Canada. In Switzerland, referendums are common, but they allow at least two years for a referendum campaign, and four years for difficult issues. And we need principled politicians to step forward as champions for fair voting. In practice, political parties have been ruthless advocates for the status quo, willing to spout whatever lies and misinformation are necessary to frighten and confuse people into voting "No".

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    • Username
      Garth Staples
      - October 12, 2011 at 10:48:34

      And every jurisdication whose people freely voted said NO. No means no. Review the issue in 10 years; not every time some one feels oh so democratic!

  • Username
    Fred Horne
    - October 8, 2011 at 23:08:33

    Well stated ISLANDWOMAN. Editor, when you ask "Can one really argue that the Greens and NDP deserve a seat in the P.E.I. Legislature with 4.4 and 3.2 per cent of votes cast?" you shift the focus onto political parties that have so far been relatively unpopular in provincial elections. In fact 40.2% of Islanders who cast ballots did so to try to elect a Conservative government with second prize being a strong opposition. That translates to 11 seats, not 5. Five people doing the work of 11 does not say to me that the opposition will be as strong as the voters wanted. The argument is not about who (meaning which political party) deserves what, it is about a strict head count (vote count) being reflected in the number of seats taken. In my opinion the FPTP system teaches and reinforces patronizing ways. That's unfortunate and it's antiquated in a world where choices and diversity of opinion abound. I think Islanders are more in tune with PR and Fair Voting than you give them credit for. The 67% who did not vote in the plebiscite of 2005 in fact were neither in favour nor against the single option they were asked to vote on. That's hardly a ringing endorsement of the status quo.

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    • Username
      nitpicker
      - October 12, 2011 at 21:50:04

      Perhaps not a ringing endorsement, but such voter apathy surely suggests that many weren't overly concerned if the status quo were kept. What do you do? Islanders were given the choice to vote for a change. And, either by voting "no" or not voting at all, they chose to keep the system the way it is.

  • Username
    Islandwoman
    - October 8, 2011 at 15:06:44

    Gee Gary, sounds like you're pushing for things to stay the way they are. You say "the result is exactly what Islanders voted for in overwhelming numbers in a 2005 provincial plebiscite." and then "a majority of Islanders like the present electoral system just the way it is." But actually when Islanders were given an opportunity to change the electoral system in 2005 and over 63 per cent voted no the voter turnout was 33 per cent." I wouldn't call 33% overwhelming numbers and I certainly wouldn't call 63% of 33% "a majority of islanders." Makes your last statement somewhat misleading. As does the fact that prior to the election in 2007 Ghiz promised to look into electoral reform and then once elected in 2007 Ghiz said that won't be happening soon. "It's something we'll address, but it's not on our priority list right now," he said." Or now apparently, right Gary?

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