Poll shows P.E.I. Liberals holding wide lead

Teresa Wright
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Robert Ghiz’s Liberals remain the party of choice in Prince Edward Island and maintain a wide lead over the NDP and Progressive Conservatives, according to the latest Corporate Research Associates poll.

The Liberal party gained four points this quarter and now has the support of over half of decided voters in P.E.I.

Meanwhile satisfaction with the Ghiz government dropped seven points since November to 43 per cent, and dissatisfaction remained steady at 51 per cent.

CRA chairman and CEO Don Mills said the satisfaction numbers represent the government’s performance ratings, and the Ghiz Liberals have been both up and down in this area over the last year.

“It’s been bouncing a little bit, which is reflective of tough economic times, I think,” Mills said.

Normally when governments drop in satisfaction levels, opposition parties see gains, he added

This has not happened in P.E.I.

“When you have half the population not satisfied with government, it should mean that the Opposition is doing better, so the question is, why not?”

The NDP is in second place ahead of the Opposition Tories for the third consecutive quarter. But the party, which has no elected members, dropped four points this quarter to 22 per cent.

The Progressive Conservatives did not gain or lose support since the last poll, but still only have the support of 17 per cent of decided voters.

Interim PC Leader Steven Myers has the backing of one in 10 Islanders, down three points to nine per cent.

Mills pointed to the fractures in the PC party that last fall saw Tignish-Palmer Road MLA Hal Perry cross the floor and former party leader Olive Crane kicked out of caucus.

And without a permanent leader, the party will likely continue to struggle for support, Mills said.

“That party has been divided for some time, so until they have their convention, pick their new leader and come together behind their new leader, it’s going to be tough.”

Premier Robert Ghiz held onto his position as most popular leader at 35 per cent, unchanged since last quarter.

NDP Leader Mike Redmond is second behind Ghiz in personal popularity at 19 per cent, but lost six points since November.

Mills said both Redmond and his party are yet untested and that P.E.I. voters may be starting to scrutinize them a little more closely.

“Clearly they’ve dropped back in terms of support, so people might have taken a look and decided that it’s not what they’re looking for.”

The Green party held steady at seven per cent and leader Peter Bevan-Baker gained one point and stands also at seven per cent in personal support.

One in 10 Islanders prefer none of the four leaders, while 18 per cent are undecided or did not offer an opinion on who their preferred premier would be an increase of seven percentage points.

The number of Islanders undecided about which party they would vote for rests at 27 percent, compared with 29 per cent last quarter.

These results are based on a sample of 300 adult Islanders, surveyed by telephone between Feb. 6 and Feb. 27.

Overall results are considered accurate to within plus or minus 5.6 percentage points, 95 out of 100 times.

The margin of error for voters who said which political party they prefer is higher, as it is based on a sample size of 183 voters. Party results are considered accurate to within plus or minus 7.2 per cent.

twright@theguardian.pe.ca

Twitter.com/GuardianTeresa

Organizations: Progressive Conservatives, NDP, Corporate Research Associates The Green

Geographic location: Prince Edward Island

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Recent comments

  • Wayne Cudmore
    Wayne Cudmore
    March 07, 2014 - 13:45

    I don't think the poll is reflective of why the Liberals have increased their lead. If there was anybody in the other two parties worth considering as a leader, I think the results would be much different.

  • Islander
    March 06, 2014 - 10:51

    Who did they poll all Roberts little pocket full by now friends because in my opinion no one in their right mind would ever be for this Gov. unless their pockets are been filled. GREAT MATH JOB EXPLAINS WHY THEY CAN NEVER GET THEIR FIGURES RIGHT WITH TAX PAYERS MONEY.

  • unreal
    March 06, 2014 - 09:56

    This is unreal considering the financial scandals this Lieberal government has shown. Bring on Mitch Murphy for PC leader.

  • fred
    March 06, 2014 - 09:21

    Article should read. (Latest poll results) "Public goes into state of depression". p.s. maybe with these numbers; they could help wes balance the books !

  • Chris
    March 05, 2014 - 22:57

    The graphic at the top is inaccurate. Pc and ndp should be flipped

  • Poll others
    March 05, 2014 - 22:41

    Poll others than Liberals. Else we all go ROTFLMAO

  • david
    March 05, 2014 - 22:30

    Mike Redmond needs to learn that silence is not all bad when all you have is negativity. The NDP could be a real threat if they had credible leader.

  • BATH MATH AND JUDGEMENT
    March 05, 2014 - 21:11

    Whoever did this survey better take a course in math. Read you total, where is the 100 percent. It shows 84 per cent are not voting for Ghiz or are undecided. How can you get 53 per cent for Ghiz out of those totals or are you using the same math that Ghiz and Wes use on the finances?

    • aww..
      March 06, 2014 - 06:20

      Go back to school, dear.....

    • Reading and Comprehension
      March 06, 2014 - 09:26

      As it clearly says in the chart, the 53% is based on decided voters.