NDP now ahead of Tories: CRA poll

Teresa Wright
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For the first time in P.E.I. history, the NDP is number two in the polls in the wake of a plunge in support for the PC party, according to the latest Corporate Research Associates poll.

The CRA’s winter 2013 data shows the NDP is now polling at 26 per cent, an increase of four points since the last quarterly poll conducted in November 2012.

This places them well ahead of the Progressive Conservative Party, which has the support of just 16 per cent of Islanders — a drop of 12 points since the last poll.

This steep decline now places the PC party behind the provincial NDP in an historic shift of voter support.

“This is maybe the start of a real, true three-party jurisdiction,” CRA chairman and CEO Don Mills said in an interview Wednesday.

“(The NDP) certainly seem to be a credible force now in P.E.I. They’re certainly poised to elect someone with these numbers.”

The story is similar in support for the NDP and PC leadership. NDP Leader Mike Redmond is stable at 18 per cent, compared with 15 per cent last quarter, while support for Interim PC Leader Steven Myers has dropped to single digits at seven per cent since November when former leader Olive Crane garnered 19 per cent.

Redmond is bolstered by his party’s numbers, which have been growing steadily over the last year.

“It’s a good day for the NDP,” he said.

He attributed this growth to the work he and the party have been doing to grow support. For the first time ever, the NDP has been organizing riding associations and Redmond says he has already secured 14 to 20 candidates to run in the next election.

“The New Democratic party on Prince Edward Island is a strong alternative to what government represents, and if we just continue to do the work then I think we can make a positive change.”

Mills says he believes this a major factor in the rise of the NDP to second place is the leadership struggles of the PC party over the last few months.

The PC party has been in a state of chaos since the day the last CRA poll was released. On that day, Crane announced she was quitting as leader of the party.

“It’s no secret we have gone through a difficult time, and like anyone who goes through difficult times we’re hoping to emerge stronger, and I think we will,” Interim PC Leader Steven Myers

Since then, infighting over who should take over as interim leader coupled with an attempt to divide the roles of party and Opposition leader kept the PC party’s internal squabbles in the glare of the public spotlight.

Myers said the drop in support in this newest poll did not surprise him.

“It’s no secret we have gone through a difficult time, and like anyone who goes through difficult times we’re hoping to emerge stronger, and I think we will.”

Myers remains hopeful the party can rebuild and regain the support of Islanders.

“It’s not something that’s going to happen overnight, so we have a lot of work to do. It’s not hard to acknowledge that, but we’re ready to do the work.”

Meanwhile, satisfaction for the Ghiz government has increased since last quarter.

Fifty per cent of Islanders say they are satisfied with the performance of the provincial government led by Premier Robert Ghiz — an increase of seven points since last quarter.

Support for the Liberal party has also grown to 51 per cent, an increase of six points.

Mills said he believes Islanders are now softening to the idea of the HST, which he thinks caused the government to lose support last year.

A total of 42 per cent of Islanders were undecided or refused to say what party they would vote for – a number Mills says is typical for the early-to-middle period of a government’s mandate.

The poll results are based on a sample of 300 Islanders, conducted between Feb. 11 and March 2nd, with overall results considered accurate within plus or minus 5.6 percentage points, 95 times out of 100.

 

twright@theguardian.pe.ca

Twitter.com/GuardianTeresa

 

Organizations: NDP, Corporate Research Associates

Geographic location: P.E.I.

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  • Renewed hope for Islanders and congrats NDP
    March 08, 2013 - 02:23

    Excellent news for Redmond, the NDP and a renewed hope for islanders! Mr. Redmond would make an awesome leader!!! He has been honest, not involved in scandals, works in a real job yet has been consumed with working for a Party to help Islanders get rid of the 2 parties robbing us blind. He is up on the politics and holds officials accountable.. He is an excellent leader! Way to go Mr. Redmond! Please get some more people like yourself to represent the areas on the island, and take a majority government in the next election and try to fix the horrendous mess this province is after all the years of total mismanagement and corrupt dealings both the liberals and tories were involved in. Mr. Redmond; keep up the great work, and thank you for fighting to help Islanders.

  • Twiggy
    March 07, 2013 - 17:18

    So it is PC voters making their way NDP. What gives with so many people still hanging on for the Ghiz Liberals. I guess ideology has nothing to do with it. I would have thought droves of so called Liberals would be NDP on PEI by now.. I mean we have seen sexism (abortion), racism (PNP), and environmental abuse (Plan B). Nothing for people who are poor, addicted, downtrodden. I am wondering what is in the heads of the Liberals- so called socially concerned, the women, young people..what is it keeping you Liberal in this province? What more do you have to see of Ghiz and his very bad, bad boys? I don't get it.

    • yepper
      March 09, 2013 - 10:03

      Abortion is definitely sexism. Why should men be forced to support kids when the woman could have just gone to get an abortion and solved the problem? ALL men should be pushing for abortion availability. Lack of abortions is anti-men.

  • TC
    March 07, 2013 - 16:38

    Perhaps if during the leadership decision they hadn't publicly stated they would decide internally what they were going to do, after it was pointed out what the law stated. Do you want your leaders publicly musing about whether they feel the law should apply to them or whether they'd simply rather not follow it?

  • Leon
    March 07, 2013 - 11:35

    This poll doesn't take into account the saviour of the PC Party - Doug MacLean. Like Mike Duffy, Doug hasn't lived on the Island in 30 years, but somehow, like Duffy, thinks he can come home and run the province. Shows just how desperate the PCs are.

  • WayneDrops
    March 07, 2013 - 10:47

    It is time Dennis King, Norman Clarey, Murray Murphy, Jason Lee, Mike Duffy, Peter McQuaid, and any other person with close ties to the Feds get away from the island PC party!

  • WRONG FIGURES
    March 07, 2013 - 10:40

    The figures that show the Liberals at 51% are inaccurate. First there are 42% undecided so that brings the total decided from 300 to 174. If they have 51% of that figure of decided then they have 24% of the 300 people polled NOT 51% as stated in this article. If you are going to print facts then print accurate facts.

  • TIME FOR AN HONEST GOVERNMENT
    March 07, 2013 - 10:29

    I do not believe this one sided poll. BARNEY THE DINOSAUR COULD BEAT THE LIBERALS IN A VOTE. It is time to see what the NDP can do for this province. We already know what the liberals and Conservatives can't do, and that is have a responsible government. They(both parties) have been running this province into the ground for so long that they feel it is their private property. time to give a new group a chance, they couldn't do any worse. So Ghizzy, you and the gang take your big unearned and unwarranted pensions and go away.

  • Tories a lost party and dissolving quickly
    March 07, 2013 - 10:24

    One of the many things this poll has shown is that the once known party on the island has self destructed due to the unethical slashers from the backroom; Also, murphy's polling (in)abilities are worse than once predicted. Not only did the people want Olive as leader; but when overthrown the polls did not increase as murphy predicted from his "polling", instead they crashed without her. "polling for dummies" may have been a useful read for murphy. And, a lesson for any backroomers in that greed and cover-ups, as well as abusing power and positions always has an ending, unfortuantely not before they have created much harm and losses- but their reign of terror does end.

  • Belfast Guy
    March 07, 2013 - 09:41

    I suspect CRA is polling from the liberal membership list. This looks good on the Tory backstabbing back room boys, and we all know who you are, who were determined to drive Olive out the door instead of throwing their support behind her and working to defeat Ghiz who leads the worst government in the history of PEI. Tories won't vote liberal or NDP but they will vote for Olive if she reoffers at the next leadership convention, nobody will support the back stabbers or anyone they put forth.

  • Oh my
    March 07, 2013 - 09:40

    The scariest thing about all this is that the Liberals are not losing support. How in the world can the Liberals not be suffering? If you are not impressed with the Conservatives, vote NDP not Liberal. There are more than TWO parties on PEI. Please, please, please start thinking about your vote. Don't just vote based on tradition. Look where that has gotten us. You have two choices the next election: NDP or Conservative. We cannot reward the worst government EVER with a new term. I am so discouraged by this poll. I cannot believe that so many Islanders are still supporting the Liberals just because they don't like the Conservatives. What does it take to change your mind? How far down do we have to go? How much corruption does there have to be? Let's fix this mess for my children and grandchildren and yours too!

  • Th Only Polls That Matter
    March 07, 2013 - 09:37

    Are the polls where people vote on election day. For those hoping for an NDP win - be careful what you wish for!

  • alfredd
    March 07, 2013 - 09:14

    That the boy, Robert, you show them who can screw the people over and get away with it, - you double the raise for the MLAs and yourself in April, ---- the sky is the limit,

  • alfredd
    March 07, 2013 - 09:13

    That the boy, Robert, you show them who can screw the people over and get away with it, - you double the raise for the MLAs and yourself in April, ---- the sky is the limit,

  • Shame, on all of us, Stephen Harper is right.
    March 07, 2013 - 08:54

    HST, PNP, Holman Hotel, Plan B, wasting our tax money on wonky and suspicious corporate investments, clear evidence of mis-spending, corruption, rampant patronage, incompetence and general arrogance. And half of us support the Ghiz government? What the hell? Harper may be correct when he characterizes us as having, "A culture of defeat...." Clearly, what's been defeated is our self-respect and courage.

  • Tired of the Bull
    March 07, 2013 - 08:31

    Divide and Conquer that's the name of the game. You take all the people that do not want another Liberal Govt. half will vote NDP the other half will vote PC and the rest is history and we get another 4 years of Ghiz in the Kremlin.

  • Quiet Observer
    March 07, 2013 - 08:05

    Let's represent the numbers more accufrately. There were 42% undecided. that means the Liberals had 30% of those polled, not 51%. The biggest factor is speculating on how those 42% would vote. A large portion may be iundecided depending on what happens with the Tory leadership as so many Tories are disgusted with the Backroom run Reform-Conservatives right now that they may switch their vote elsewhere if the wrong person gets the leadership (Key? Atlward? Lantz?) and if the likes of Clarey (in Brown's riding) really do run. With 42% undecided, the real story of this poll is the 42%, not the Tory/NDP issue.

  • Upwester
    March 07, 2013 - 07:41

    Looks like momentum is clearly with the NDP. The Conservative support has tanked with the help of Gail (EI) Shea and the Duffers pathetic revelations. Steve Myers comes across as a fellow way out of his weight class, and will likely be over taken by Bevan-Baker, in the next polling; leaving Conservative leadership in 4th or last place. The fledgling NDP will have severe organizational challenges ahead to best represent this new momentum.

  • VICK
    March 07, 2013 - 06:16

    Mike I like you and congradulate you, however I dont see the NDP ever findig anyone like yourself in any other riding that wont be like a dog chasing tires...if they ever caught the tire they wouldnt know what to do with it! Sorry buddy cant vote NDP with all their crazy social programs and environment BS...........you think the country is broke now and HST is going to be bad, NDP gets in gas will double as well as anything we tax payers enjoy will double! I hope you get in Mike but as for your party running the Province SORRY!

  • harry toombs
    March 07, 2013 - 06:05

    This poll has excited the NDP and followers but I have to say that 42% of Islanders in this poll are as confused as I am on who you could possibly support!! Mike Redmond not through really doing anything but being there while the Conservative Party destroy themselves and the Liberal Government destroying Islanders has moved up in Polls simply because of the ignorance of the other Parties!! It looks like we as Islanders have a Long few years ahead with these three Leaders at their respective Helms!! God help us!!!

  • Liberal majority Predicted
    March 07, 2013 - 05:57

    Pretty clear from this poll and the trend that the Liberal Government of Robert Ghiz will form a third majority. If these numbers were the results of an election the Liberals could very well win all seats. But hopefully the NDP will win enough seats to be the official opposition. With the direction the Conservatives are heading they will likely not win a seat.

  • Ron
    March 07, 2013 - 02:11

    Great news. The New Democrats will initially provide an excellent Opposition and then a sound alternative to Ghiz and company.

  • observer
    March 06, 2013 - 23:45

    Tory party will rally but they need a "credible candidate"......hard to find after the mess the party has been left with. No educated person with a half decent income is going to throw their hat into the ring for leader unless the "idiots" running the show get out. Yes, back room people led to Olive's demise,but they will not step up now (too much of a loss for them).....You will not see a credible, educated person take this on.....it's not worth the financial hit.

  • We want a premier like Mr. Redmond
    March 06, 2013 - 22:59

    "For the first time in P.E.I. history, the NDP is number two in the polls in the wake of a plunge in support for the PC party"....special thanks to the backroom idiots But, more importantly, it shows that Islanders are frowning upon corruption, cover-ups, and greed and want a leader like Mr. Redmond who is honest, hard working, and shows a sincere effort to represent islanders to make things better. The greedy will be gone from politics, both parties gone hopefully, it is our only hope for anyone who wants to live here.

  • NDP will form next government
    March 06, 2013 - 22:50

    Finally, some encouraging news that hopefully neither liberals or tories will get to power next election. Mr. Redmond can take on the liberals, come on islanders, we need to get rid of the old political parties that have destroyed us, The NDP is our only hope for not only our survival but for our children and maybe get back some of the islanders who were forced to leave. Go NDP!!!

  • Maybe some hope for the future afterall
    March 06, 2013 - 22:15

    Excellent news for Mr. Redmond and the NDP and gives Islanders some hope for the future! Mr. Redmond would make an awesome leader!!! He has been honest, not involved in scandals, works in a real job yet has been consumed with working for a Party to help Islanders get rid of the 2 parties robbing us blind. He is up on the politics and holds officials accountable.. He is an excellent leader! Way to go Mr. Redmond! Please get some more people like yourself to represent the areas on the island, and take a majority government in the next election and try to fix the horrendous mess this province is after all the years of total mismanagement and corrupt dealings both the liberals and tories were involved in. Mr. Redmond; keep up the great work, and thank you for fighting to help Islanders.

  • BobertBhiz
    March 06, 2013 - 21:57

    Second place is so distant when it comes to actual voting, it may as well be the Anarchist Party rounding second best. Ghiz, like him or not, will get re-elected yet again.

  • JUSTA?
    March 06, 2013 - 21:55

    Just wondering if Mike has "secured" candidates to run...why does he not know if it is 14 or 20 that are "secured"???

  • Backroom boys now 'silly boys'
    March 06, 2013 - 21:55

    The tory party totally destroyed by the rednecks in the backroom who abused their power, were totally out of control, lost all perspective of how important THEY thought they were to the fact that people saw them as a bunch of bullies who were arrogant, self-centered, power abusers, huge egos (for only reasons they would know), not that smart (well at least at polling..ha); and ruled from the backroom with threats and backstabbing. But, like all power-abusers they simply self-destruct. By destroying the party to get to the trough and continue with cover-ups, they destroyed themselves....self destuctive...could not have happened to a more horrible group of abusive backroom backstabbers. Idiots!

    • PLEASE CLARIFY
      March 08, 2013 - 20:06

      yup - that pretty well sums it up.

  • Amazed
    March 06, 2013 - 21:13

    People are beginning to realize aTory is aTory is aTory.Binns was a legacy of corruption and arrogance that will never be forgotten but now federally the Harper Tories are setting new records for incompetence , arrogance and corruption. MPs and senators seem to be the bottom of the barrel ,no A-Team here.These fools have to go before they damage our country any further,the whole world is watching.

  • Donnie
    March 06, 2013 - 20:13

    Looks like Bobby is riding the wave of anti-Tory sentiment is all, and it's a huge, huge, wave both Federally and Provincially. Good luck Mike! The NDP are the only party that have the workers best interests at heart! Watch Tommy Douglas's Mouseland to see how our system works!

  • Joe Blow
    March 06, 2013 - 19:02

    I don't believe the Liberals support has increased....that is not believable at all. These numbers are not accurate and obviously tampered with. Any person on PEI that votes Liberal in the next election needs their heads examined. Don't vote for a party because you're father and grandfather voted for that party....vote for the party that represents you and all Islanders the best way possible. Thats hard to do since 99% of politicians are liars....but vote for the party that plans on looking after all Islanders...not just the rich party supporters like the Liberals are doing.

  • fred
    March 06, 2013 - 18:54

    Congrats. Mike . The other 50% must of been all the winners of the p.n.p. lottery.

  • Hughsie
    March 06, 2013 - 18:45

    Common Sophus, put your name in there and run. Add integrity to this fiasco. If you don't, it'll be a red tide again.

  • charles
    March 06, 2013 - 16:09

    This poll is interesting but I wonder how accurate it is? as someone who moved to the Island over 20 years ago I have watched both the liberals and pc parties run up the provincial debt dramaticaly with questionable leadership. Both my wife and I will be voting for the NDP not out of great love for the party but as purely a protest vote. The PC party have no leadership and the Ghiz government needs to be thrown out before they do any more damage.I wonder how many more people will head to the polls in 2015 and do the same thing? I just hope that Mike Redmund puts together a good group of candidates. I am sure they could do worse a job than the reds or the blues.

  • John W.A.Curtis
    March 06, 2013 - 15:20

    P.E.I. needs a political change the Ghiz government is prepared to spend 30 Million dollars to buy the next election. The question is are the NDP willing to balance the budget and demand Wes Sheridan cut the budget this year

  • Bill Myers
    March 06, 2013 - 15:01

    No offense to Mike Redmond ( Good guy ) but Mike Duffy could get more votes than our conservative leaders!!

  • Follower
    March 06, 2013 - 13:53

    Great news. I do feel Mike is gaining interest with his honesty and weanting to get things out in the open. Any government should be transparent and accoutable to the people whio voted them in. Why do we continually see cover up, hiding figures and misthruths. Why doesn't any Politician want a Forensic Audit to show the taxpayers the true picture of how their hard earned money is being managed.

  • johnny cash
    March 06, 2013 - 13:52

    All this will do is encourage ghiz to higher levels of ineptness. Watch the debt grow now!

  • we did it.........
    March 06, 2013 - 13:51

    OMG I can't believe it.....were going to kick GHIz and his crew to the side ,new deputy's ,I'll get a new car,finally,a parking space across from the prov building.....I have all my union frends ready to get on those committee's, and exceutive assistant positions....a cost of living raise...Oh I can 't wait...........

  • Quiet Observer
    March 06, 2013 - 12:54

    Let's see how the Reform-Conservatives try to blame this on Olive too! Let's face it, it's time for the backroom Tories (Clarey, Murphy, McQuaid, Currie, Lee, etc.) to all go - the people of PEI have had enough and won't support them. We need the real Conservative Party of PEI to come back and speak for the people of PEI, like Olive tried to do. At this point, the NDP is looking like the light for the future.

  • Really Confused
    March 06, 2013 - 12:54

    Ghiz's numbers have gone up-please....when HST hits Islanders he shouldnt even be on the radar! I dont believe these polls at all

  • Went Up
    March 06, 2013 - 12:33

    PE Islanders admaze me . Liberal poll up after all this goverment is & has done to them . Hard to believe ????????????

  • PLEASE CLARIFY
    March 06, 2013 - 12:11

    Good Work Boys... your self-centred vision and fear of being exposed has succeeded in tearing this party apart from the inside and has rendered it irrelevant. TAKE HEED would be leaders - the ONLY way this party will regain any of the people's confidence is to show MORAL leadership... to genuinely be above reproach in their political and business dealings. To provide ethical leadership and SEEK the TRUTH - not seek to bury it!! This is a hard pill for those who have served the party and the people of PEI with self sacrifice but completely the JUST DESSERTS for those who have been operating with an offensive sense of self-entitlement.

  • Anthony M
    March 06, 2013 - 11:59

    I see there was 150 complete morons polled in this. How in the name of god could you be satisfied with the provincial liberal government? You must like their new wage increases, HST, running deficet and every waste of tax money projects that are announced from day to day... Give me a break, CRA stop polling in the Ghiz family and start polling the real Islanders here.

  • angus
    March 06, 2013 - 11:58

    Love it! ! Hope the PC back room boys are happy! They and Mike Duffy are responsible for this with all their games.

  • Bill Kays
    March 06, 2013 - 11:39

    Although I do not believe small polls are accurate, congrats Mike. Good luck. You are a good hearted person. I pray that you can maintain your integrity while struggling within the political arena. I look forward to a provincial government led by you. Follow your heart, keep things honest and fully truthful and Islanders will sweep you into office.

  • LOL
    March 06, 2013 - 11:35

    I wonder if Olive Crane is grinning from ear to ear......surely the PC Backroom boys can't be surprised at the decline in support for the party and most especially for their newly minted leader.......Keep Meyers on as leader and see how blue PEI gets in 2015....also do we seriously need a CFA premier in the person of MacLean......he might live here a few weeks in the summer like Senator Duff Duff.......

  • candrayo
    March 06, 2013 - 11:23

    So there is hope after all!!!!! Keep it up Mr. Redmond!!

  • Rose Hicken
    March 06, 2013 - 11:23

    150 or so of those 300 Islanders asked must be relatives or friends of Robert Ghiz. I can't imagine there are others who would support him or his party.

  • a islander
    March 06, 2013 - 11:19

    looks like another term for mr robert ghiz and the best leadership we've had in years, yeehaw

    • Lamp Post
      March 07, 2013 - 01:49

      I think a lamp post would get more votes than Myers and the Tories,they thought it was Olives fault,haha.