• Print
  • Send to a friend
  • Comment (9)
  •  

Digital support for Liberal leadership candidates could play important role

Federal Libeal leadership candidate, Justin Trudeau, tries some chocolate milk when he visited a dairy farm in Meadownbank, Prince Edward Island in this Guardian file photo. With him are Sandra MacDonald and Cheryl Jewell. Jewell and her husband own the farm Trudeau toured. Guardian photo by Brian McInnis

Federal Libeal leadership candidate, Justin Trudeau, tries some chocolate milk when he visited a dairy farm in Meadownbank, Prince Edward Island in this Guardian file photo. With him are Sandra MacDonald and Cheryl Jewell. Jewell and her husband own...

Published on March 2, 2013
Published on March 2, 2013
The Canadian Press  RSS Feed
Topics :
Canadian Press

The deadline for Liberal leadership hopefuls to sign up new supporters for the party – and their candidacies – is Sunday.

But while each of the eight candidates will rely on their new recruits come ballot time, there is also the digital support base they've been building in recent months in the form of their following on social media.

Over the last six months, Justin Trudeau has signed up new Twitter followers at a rate far outpacing his rivals, gaining an average of 6,743 a month, with Marc Garneau trailing with an average of 886 followers a month.

As of late last week, Trudeau had 188,861 followers, Garneau had 11,840 and Hall Findlay had 7,511.

The number of followers definitely shouldn't be read as a digital coronation of Trudeau as Liberal king, said digital public affairs analyst Mark Blevis, who performed the social media analysis for The Canadian Press using a variety of different tools.

"Having a large follower base is important only because it means these people have committed to looking in on you, but how often do they actually do that?" Blevis said.

"What matters in the end is how many are going to put a checkmark next to your name."

While not every Twitter follower will equate to a vote when Liberals cast their ballots next month, social media can nonetheless be a vital tool for building supporter databases – vast pools of potential volunteers and donors.

Most research into the use of social media in the political sphere has found it's typically used to do little more than distribute campaign material, rather than engage in debate or conversation with voters.

That, however, is where the number of followers has the potential to come in handy.

A Pew Internet and American Life project concluded that about 40 per cent of Americans who use social media do so for civic or political activities, mostly to convince others to vote or share campaign messages.

Trudeau, Garneau and Martha Hall Findlay actually share thousands of the same followers, Blevis found.

But the rest appear to be quite different.

The word that most commonly appears in the biographies of Trudeau's digital fan base is "love." Other popular terms include "student," "music" and "writer."

Blevis said that indicates Trudeau appears to have tapped into an online community that doesn't immediately identify with politics, perhaps giving him new avenues for support that other candidates don't have.

"Having a large follower base is important only because it means these people have committed to looking in on you, but how often do they actually do that?" - Mark Blevis

For Garneau and Hall Findlay, the most common description for their followers is "politics," with "Canadian" and "political" also being popular terms.

Those same words are dominant in the profiles of candidates Joyce Murray, Deborah Coyne and David Bertschi.

The profiles for Karen McCrimmon and Martin Cauchon didn't provide enough information for analysis.

Murray's list of followers is different from the majority of other candidates.

A sample of 1,000 followers from each contestant, filtered through a tool called Status People, revealed that 54 per cent of Murray's 4,900 followers are either from fake or inactive accounts – accounts with very few, if any, tweets or followers, but which follow many people.

That's despite a series of high-profile endorsements for Murray, including major online groups which support the idea of electoral co-operation – a policy Murray is alone among the candidates in endorsing.

More than 65 per cent of the followers for the rest of the candidates are considered "good," with Trudeau having the highest percentage of good followers at 90 per cent.

By the numbers, Karen McCrimmon is the least present online, with only 253 followers and 117 tweets from her account. But it was only created last November.

Martin Cauchon has only tweeted 200 times since his account was set up in January 2011.

Blevis notes, however, that different candidates are seeking to reach different constituencies and not all members of the Liberal party are active online, making the digital sphere only one part of a much larger campaign.

But with social media likely to only grow in importance in the next round, the challenge for any politician will be to find a way to translate their real-time skills into virtual ones, said Blevis.

"Can they convert the experience of the public space, the shaking hands, the pancake breakfasts, into an online experience?" Blevis asked.

"Can you make people feel like they have your attention online?"

Garneau has certainly captured the attention of one high-profile person on Twitter – his fellow astronaut Chris Hadfield sent him a Happy Birthday tweet from space.

 

Comments

  • Username
    You go girl
    - March 3, 2013 at 14:36:21

    On the lighter side, couldn't digital support be interpreted as............giving the finger?

    Submit a comment

    • Username
      Sylvia
      - March 3, 2013 at 19:00:48

      Good comment, I like your sense of humour and keen wit.

    • Username
      Sylvia
      - March 3, 2013 at 19:01:42

      Good comment, I like your sense of humour and keen wit.

  • Username
    Twiggy
    - March 3, 2013 at 13:22:47

    Seeing a picture of women my own age fawning over a young celebrity makes me think that maybe we in Canada just simply cannot get it right. Now these women are Island women perhaps somehow still in in a trance over the young Ghiz here and susceptible to the charms of the young Trudeau as well. I had really hoped and dreamed before my passing that I would see a government led by the NDP and genuinely dealing with our social, economic and environmental challenges. But the shallow and hungry LIberals had this one last card in the deck. So I will persevere and hope that country wide Canadians will not fall in the same' son of' image trap as we have on PEI. I will know how to challenge the Liberals here and I urge all who want real change to do the same.Say to them...... please remember what your heart flutters did to us here, girls, do not help that happen nation wide.Let us send Justin back to school until he grows up. As we should have done with Robert. In the meantime let's vote NDP,take charge of the issues, and help people avoid the disaster coming for people in Europe and America. We can do this but we need the NDP to do it. Putting faith in a PM"s son is not only lazy, it is dangerous.

    Submit a comment

  • Bill Kays
    Bill Kays
    - March 3, 2013 at 11:49:10

    It is quite obvious that the Guardian is a TRUDEAU supporter. We all know the Guardian to be a LIBERAL newspaper (and I do not mean progressive) and the young buck must be cashing in on all the political capital of his father and favors owed politically to his father. The young buck seems to be out for a good time and I could never take him serious as a leader. He would be worse as Prime Minister than Ghiz is as Premier. It is sickening to see the same OLD FAMILIES involved in the political scene in Canada. That is because it is a fixed game. In order to get in you have to be invited in. No longer can someone (a nobody) rise to the top of the political system because it is a fixed game. New political parties are difficult to start. You see, the old boys club is still alive and well and controlling the political scene in all over Canada at every level of government. They also control the media. That is why there is little real reporting done today. Every news organization of any size are basically regurgitating the same script. It is enough to make you sick.

    Submit a comment

    • Username
      Bill, Bill, Bill . . .
      - March 3, 2013 at 12:26:20

      Bill, if you would only start from the concrete and then go to the ideology your comments would be much more interesting, and useful. Agreed upon facts first, then the speculation. Gives us evidence where the Guardian supported Trudeau, then slam us with your interpretation of the evidence.

  • Username
    Blue Collar
    - March 2, 2013 at 22:12:49

    There is no way Justin Trudeau will get my vote. What has he done in life to relate to hard working Canadians. A substitute drama teacher and a celebrity boxing champion. Give someone who isn't a corrupt business icon in Harper and a flaky popularity contest winner in Trudeau. There's bound to be someone who is intelligent, knows the value of a hard days work and cares about the social well-being of all Canadians to lead this country.

    Submit a comment

    • Username
      Don't support Trudeau yet either, however . . .
      - March 3, 2013 at 08:15:23

      So, I presume you also avoid doctors that come from well to do families and have not suffered the same ailments as yourself? And would that mean that you only seek financial advice from a "working class" person, let's say a Tim's worker or someone who has had to drop out of school? Also, what does work have to look like - is it only a nine to five job being employed in a factory or sweating it out in a menial position making money for someone else? Sure, there are lazy good for nothing rich people, and there are lazy good for nothing poor people. For the most part, what Justin Trudeau is good for has yet to be determined. No?

  • Username
    intobed
    - March 2, 2013 at 16:27:56

    Every time an article about the Liberal leadership race is published, Trudeau is prominent. When he came to PEI, large articles were in the paper several days in a row, both before and after. When other candidates came, there was barely a mention, and only after they had left. The press has anointed Trudeau already, and are working hard to make it a reality.

    Submit a comment

Submit a comment

Submit a comment (we keep all emails private)
Agreement

We ask that users remain courteous. You may not post insulting, discriminatory or inappropriate content, which may be removed at our discretion. We are not responsible for user content and opinions. Use of this site as well as content submission & ownership are governed by our Conditions of Use and Privacy Policy.

Member organizations should be non-profit in nature, and promote legal activities. Any organization found promoting illegal activities or commercial products or services will be deleted from the site.

I agree with these conditions.

Advertising

Newsletter

Please enter your email to receive our free newsletter

Subscribe to news alerts
loading...

Expert bloggers

Ride for Heart
Blogger
Heart and Stroke Foundation
Putting those unused gears into action
[Sponsored]

More bloggers here

The Guardian Twitter

Advertising